Our number against the market's on every ATP and Challenger match. Picks are settled against the closing line, wins and losses both.
Measured on 99 picks against Pinnacle's closing line. This is a backtest, not a live record. Picks published since launch are stamped and settled against the close; the last 48 hours of them are shown below, wins and losses both.
CourtCockpit is a real-time analytics product for men's ATP and Challenger tennis. Every upcoming match gets a model-estimated win probability, lined up against the bookmakers' price. When the two disagree by more than 5%, that gap is an edge and we publish it.
No tips, no telegram channels, no "DM for the lock." Just numbers, tracked in the open.
A surface-specific Elo, trained match by match against every ATP result since 2020, plus tour-level Challenger and qualifying. Hard, clay and grass each carry their own rating, weighed against recent form and the head-to-head record on the surface in play.
That win probability becomes a fair decimal price. We line it up against the best price on offer across the sportsbooks, with the book's built-in margin stripped out so the comparison is honest.
The gap between our price and the market's is the edge. We publish every match where it clears 5%. Above 15% is rare and usually means the model can't see something — an injury, a walkover — so we flag it and you use judgment.
Built and run by DommyLocked. One operator, direct line: reply on @DommyLocked.
