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Form regression · last 10 vs Elo expectation
Hot & Cold
recent winrate minus implied winrate from career Elo · 150 active top-150 players
Running hot · over-performing Elo
12
#109
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA
L10 80%
+32.16%
#131
Bu Yunchaokete
CHN
L10 90%
+15.06%
#91
Adam Walton
AUS
L10 80%
+14.59%
#87
Emilio Nava
USA
L10 90%
+14.59%
#105
Jan Choinski
GBR
L10 80%
+11.95%
#45
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ARG
L10 80%
+11.91%
#128
Facundo Diaz Acosta
ARG
L10 70%
+8.64%
#72
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
PAR
L10 70%
+6.08%
#102
Alex Molcan
SVK
L10 80%
+5.56%
#35
Ignacio Buse
PER
L10 80%
+5.38%
#108
Coleman Wong
HKG
L10 60%
+5.08%
#148
August Holmgren
DEN
L10 70%
+2.83%
Bigger number = more upside vs market, suspect regression incoming
Running cold · under-performing Elo
12
#73
Jenson Brooksby
USA
L10 20%
-55.52%
#41
Tallon Griekspoor
NED
L10 30%
-54.83%
#46
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
L10 10%
-54.23%
#36
Corentin Moutet
FRA
L10 30%
-52.16%
#126
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA
L10 10%
-48.97%
#77
Jan Lennard Struff
GER
L10 30%
-47.01%
#88
Marcos Giron
USA
L10 30%
-46.84%
#66
Lorenzo Sonego
ITA
L10 30%
-45.97%
#145
Jacob Fearnley
GBR
L10 30%
-43.85%
#119
Hugo Gaston
FRA
L10 30%
-41.45%
#75
Marton Fucsovics
HUN
L10 40%
-41.39%
#112
Jack Draper
GBR
L10 50%
-41.30%
Buy-low candidates · likely to regress upward