Who is winning more than their ratings said they would against the opponents they actually played, and who is winning less. Last ten matches, ATP top 150. Open a player for his surfaces and results.
Won 8 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.8. Last match Nov 7.
Won 9 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 6.0. Last match Oct 18.
Won 6 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 3.5. Last match Nov 2.
Won 7 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.7. Last match Nov 5.
Won 7 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.9. Last match Nov 3.
Won 7 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.0. Last match Aug 28.
Won 7 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.2. Last match Nov 6.
Won 8 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 6.3. Last match Nov 4.
Won 5 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 3.3. Last match Oct 15.
Won 7 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.3. Last match Nov 7.
Won 6 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.3. Last match Nov 4.
Won 7 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.3. Last match Nov 7.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.1. Last match Nov 4.
The number is points per match above or below expectation: each match counts the chance his surface rating gave him against that opponent. Ten matches is a small sample, so one result either way moves it by about ten points, and plus or minus fifteen is roughly what luck alone produces. A band describes a run. It is not a forecast and it is not a betting edge. 149 players had enough recent matches to measure.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.8. Last match Aug 30.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.5. Last match Nov 4.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.4. Last match Oct 26.
Won 3 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.3. Last match Oct 22.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.3. Last match Nov 2.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.1. Last match Oct 24.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.1. Last match Sep 11.
Won 4 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 6.1. Last match Oct 31.
Won 3 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 5.1. Last match Nov 4.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.0. Last match Nov 7.
Won 2 of 10. Against those opponents his ratings expected 4.0. Last match Oct 31.